v1.3
Weekly Signal
—
Enter your weekly data below — signal calculates automatically.
Macro Context Index —
Macro — G4 M2 50%
M2 Trend (China-adjusted)
What is G4 M2? Total money supply across the 4 major economies (US, EU, China, Japan).

↑ Rising — central banks expanding credit → more money chasing risk assets → bullish for BTC

↓ Falling — money being pulled out of the system → risk assets under pressure → bearish
↑ Rising
→ Neutral
↓ Falling
Liquidity — Fed Net 35%
4-Week Change
WALCL − TGA
Fed Net Liquidity Shows how much money is actually flowing into markets.

WALCL rising → Fed adding liquidity (bullish)

TGA rising → Government pulling money out (bearish)

Use 4-week change for both. Find on fred.stlouisfed.org
Δ WALCL (4W, $B)
Δ TGA (4W, $B)
Risk — Trigger 15%
MOVE Index
bond volatility
MOVE Index Volatility in the US bond market — the "VIX for bonds".

Above 120 → bond market stressed → institutions pulling back → bearish for BTC

Below 100 → calm bond market → risk appetite open → bullish

Search "MOVE Index" or check icemaim.com
pts
Fear & Greed
alternative.me
Fear & Greed Index Crypto market sentiment on a scale of 0–100.

0–20 (Extreme Fear) → market panicking → historically the best time to buy

80–100 (Extreme Greed) → euphoria → correction risk high

Below 15 triggers a score bonus in this tool. Find at alternative.me
0–100
Context
Market Stress Active?
War, geopolitical crisis, systemic event
← Back to Weekly Signal
Personal tool This calculator is for personal use only — it translates raw macro inputs into a structured signal using a personal research framework. Not financial advice. No liability assumed.