Signal Builder

See how the score works — adjust the inputs and watch the signal update. Pre-filled with this week's live values.

Your Signal
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Adjust the inputs below — the signal recalculates automatically.
Macro Context Index — / 100
Defensive Neutral Aggressive
Fear < 15 adds a bonus · Market stress caps the score.
Macro — G4 M2 50%
Global Money Supply
G4 M2 Trend Combined money supply (US, EU, China, Japan).

↑ Rising — central banks expanding credit → more money chasing risk assets → bullish for BTC

↓ Falling — money being pulled out of the system → risk assets under pressure → bearish
↑ Rising
→ Neutral
↓ Falling
Liquidity — Fed Net 35%
Net Liquidity
WALCL − TGA
Fed Net Liquidity Enter the 4-week change in each, in $ billions.

WALCL rising → Fed adding liquidity (bullish)

TGA rising → Government pulling money out (bearish)

Net = WALCL − TGA. Find both on FRED.
Δ WALCL (4W, $B)
Δ TGA (4W, $B)
Risk — Trigger 15%
MOVE Index
bond volatility
MOVE Index Bond market volatility — the "VIX for bonds".

Above 120 → bond market stressed → institutions pulling back → bearish for BTC

Below 100 → calm bond market → risk appetite open → bullish

Find on TradingView (ticker: MOVE).
pts
Fear & Greed
alternative.me
Fear & Greed Index Crypto market sentiment on a scale of 0–100.

0–20 (Extreme Fear) → market panicking → historically the best time to buy

80–100 (Extreme Greed) → euphoria → correction risk high

Below 15 triggers a score bonus in this tool. Find at alternative.me
0–100
Context
Market Stress Active?
War, geopolitical crisis, systemic event
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Personal tool This calculator translates raw macro inputs into a structured signal using a personal research framework. Not financial advice. No liability assumed.

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